I always laugh when I hear or see the word “A-list.”
Ah, people and their pride.
Let’s take a look at some of the comments on Kara’s blog and across the “blogosphere.” (Admittedly I laugh every time I type that word).
Scott Heiferman, Meetup.com CEO and maybe one of the lone voices of reason, says
Making a householdword is the great challenge. Not only does the word need to be universally known, but it has to be universally known for something that people need. eBay, Amazon, Google, and Craigslist are universally known, and people need what those words mean: People need to buy & sell & search in their everyday lives. SecondLife is known, but people don’t need it; Flickr could be the word that means photography — the Kodak of the 21st century — but it’s wide value prop is fuzzy, and my non-tech friends still send me their crappy Shutterfly links. I’m highly suspicious of most startups’ potential to reach sustainable householdword status because they’re not really serving real people’s needs. As for Facebook, people need to stay in touch with people they know, so they’re on-track, but I suspect their word is too muddied with pokes & kid stuff.
but popular VC (investor in Twitter) and blogger Fred Wilson chimes in (mildly) optimistically saying
it’s a great point and the second challenge twitter has, after scaling, is to go mainstream.
many think it can’t happen.
i have been slowly but surely turning on my friends who don’t even use facebook to twitter.
none of them work in the tech world (easier to find friends like that in NYC)
i just tell them to text “follow fredwilson” to 40404 and when/if they get tired of it to text “leave fredwilson” to 40404
what’s interesting to me is that some really like it and have been using it with their friends
so i am optimistic, but also mindful that crossing the chasm is not easy and that twitter has a long way to go on multiple fronts in order to truly go mainstream
He then later complains about wanting to temporarily unfollow people.
And the pure bloggers?
Dave Winer says
It’ll catch on, Twitter is powerful. We need more than one vendor though. There was a time when blogs were like this, outside a few thousand people, no one knew about them, and now you’re asking this classic question on a blog. Seems a little ironic, but perfectly natural!
While Dave McClure gives one of the few predictions (and boasts about twittering about the birth of his child):
mmm.. i predict twitter “mainstreams” in ~2-3 years, friendfeed in ~3-4 years.
(altho my guess is both get acquired / integrated into something else before then).
would have been interesting to ask about Digg, which i think has already crossed over a bit.
(ps - i twittered the birth of our second child, including 3 cervix dilation updates… NERD!
Sarah Lacy is surprised by the international ubiquity of Twitter (maybe because text messages are so expensive in the US):
My in-laws asked my husband if it was an invasion of our privacy to “follow us” and while I was out of town my parents– who use absolutely zero social networking or social media sites and are doing good if they read anything I write — sent an email to my husband that read, “What is a Twitter? Is it just like a one-line blog?” I was floored. And, let’s not forget international. Every time I travel outside the U.S. I’m stunned by Twitter’s ubiquity. After all, mobile apps are much stronger outside the U.S. In my own informal polls, people in Europe and the Middle East rank Twitter among the most global companies in the Valley, well above Facebook even.
In short, Twitter isn’t mainstream, but it’s getting outside the echo chamber fast. The problem is it’s not necessarily in predictable ways. It’s in random spurts
Jeff Clavier, an investor in Seesmic (which acquired Twhirl, an application built off of Twitter’s API), who at least realizes that the success of a micro-blogging platform does not mean it has go to be Twitter:
Note that I am making the case for a broad adoption of micro-blogging, or whatever that “super easy posting of a personal status update” is called. As to whether Twitter, Facebook or another yet-to-come service will be the “winner” in the space, who knows. But the broader audience, and the broader need, will be there. As to how you turn this into a business, and make money? There are enough smart people in and around these services, and enough usage, that something will eventually be figured out IMHO.
Matthew Ingram considers Twitter at the early-stage status of Chat applications or a Facebook:
But I don’t think the concept of Twitter is quite as foreign as many people make it out to be — and certainly no more foreign than the idea of “instant messaging” was not all that long ago. And as MG Siegler notes, there are some pretty cool apps being built on top of it.
Dan Farber quotes Steve Gillmour:
In this context, Twitter is a highly efficient way to share, discover, and market ideas. My journalist/blogger friends have taken to Twitter broadcasts of their posts, and on occasion I have Twittered live events, broadcasting my notes and observations to followers, who receive it in real time or for later consumption. You can also “Track” keywords to follow people or concepts without signing up to follow them. “It creates a public/private scenario where discoverability and special social interactions can happen,” Gillmor said.
but maybe more revealing says:
Twitter adds to the overflow of information, but if you find the right people to follow, or lead, it does offer a good ROI for the time spent consuming 140 characters at a time.
DING DING DING DING!
In a moment of pure echo chamber Robert Scoble says
If no one is on Twitter why am I getting a new Tweet every second?
Yeah, Kara Swisher’s friends aren’t on Twitter. Of course they are the same type who would look at you strange back in 1977 if you bought an Apple II for $5,000 like my dad did.
(Maybe he should try reading the Paul Graham essay on how to disagree)
My personal favorite, though, is MG Siegler’s take on Twitter:
Third, even within the tech world itself I’ve seen Twitter “haters” turn into “players” in a matter of months. I won’t name names, but there are several folks out there who had absolutely nothing nice to say about Twitter when they first heard about it and saw it in action. Every single one of those people have now changed their minds and use the service regularly.
To which I reply (via twitter):
